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State of the Industry
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April / May 2000
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State of the Industry
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A Networking Population Explosion

The Four Greatest Fears of Starting Your Own Business

The Academy of Network Marketing?

The Code of the Business

Your Time Is Now

The Village is Back


Hot Times Ahead

WHEN RECESSION HITS THE ECONOMY, NETWORK MARKETING BOOMS

By ROD COOK

If you're in network marketing, there's good news, and there's bad news - and the great news is that, for you, they're both good news.

State of the Industry In good economic times, people are less interested in career alternatives, but they can more easily afford to buy more consumer goods. In bad times, they crave new business opportunities. Today, we could soon be facing global recession - and tremendous worldwide opportunities for you.

The global economy is cracking apart worldwide. Russia is suffering continuous political and economic crisis. The Asian nations, including the financial powerhouse that was Japan, are still shaky. Meanwhile, in the U.S., no signs point to a recession - yet. Hasn't this always been the case toward the end of a boom in the financial cycle?

Worldwide, people are beginning to worry. Once they start worrying, they quit spending money. This "psychology of fear" fuels a recession. I'm not saying there is going to be a depression, which is much worse than a recession. What I am predicting, based on surveys conducted by our company (which have proved exceedingly accurate over the past 10 years), is higher unemployment and underemployment - people forced to work for less money than their qualifications would warrant.

Our Countercyclical Business

General economic theory holds that there tends to be a recession about every eight years. The entire history of the modern United States reflects this boom-and-bust cycle. Consistently, network marketing has grown during the "down" periods.

The oldest network marketing company we can track is the marine-vegetable (seaweed) supplement company Wachter's, which started in 1937 near the bottom of the Great Depression. Nutrilite took off in 1945 during the economic decline immediately following World War II. Shaklee and Neolife fared well in the post-Korean War slump. Amway got a good start building with the slump in 1958. Mary Kay started with the downturn in the 1960s. This theory held true in 1992 when Alliance, Kaire, Life Plus, and a number of other companies started up and entered their own boom period.

  When recession hits, those with any intelligence are going to scramble to find alternative sources of income. In their frantic searches, they are going to find that the best of all alternatives is network marketing.
Understanding the relationship between low-cost entrepreneurship and economics is important. During the past few years, the world economic boom has made people complacent. In the U.S., the jobless rate dropped to all-time lows of less than five percent. People had to be sick, lame, or lazy not to get a job. Hamburger flippers got higher-paying jobs, such as assembling computers, and their incomes rose. Rather than looking for an alternative to a job or seeking extra income, these folks sat around and watched television.

When recession hits, those with any intelligence are going to scramble to find alternative sources of income. In their frantic searches, they are going to find that the best of all alternatives is network marketing.

In the graph, we show the increase in growth of several major network marketing companies operating during the recession of 1973-75. You will note that the companies were not doing badly when the recession started. They had a fair amount of growth. However, when the recession came, they took off like rockets!

Even after the recession, their growth rates remained higher than they were before the recession. This was probably due to two reasons. First, the memory of the recession lingered in people's minds. Second, there was now a larger distributor base, recruiting more new people.

Another factor that will fuel the growth in network marketing is that many Baby Boomers have put their life savings into the stock market. With the market's recent upward spiral, many Baby Boomers have resumed their high-flying, fast-spending ways and have meager savings except for stocks. With the inevitable, cyclical decline of the stock market, they will see their retirement plan funds lose 25 to 50 percent in value. Panic will follow. Baby Boomers with sense will be looking for secondary ways to build a residual retirement income.

State of the Industry Grab your hat and prepare for the next boom in network marketing. If you are a newcomer, study the industry closely (and quickly). If you are an old-timer, get out your contact lists for the last two or three years. In a recession, they will be solid gold! All you have to do is get out there and help people out of their economic duress.

Now is the best time to grow your network marketing business. Whether you are a veteran or a beginning network marketer, the future is bright. Soon consumers will be looking for the best quality at the best prices. Where do they find it? Often in the quality products offered by network marketing companies.

Recession causes people to open their minds to gaining alternative sources of income. If they are still employed, they are worrying about the possibility of losing their jobs or having them downgraded. If they are unemployed, they are seeking ways to build their income without spending large amounts of money to start another business.

Network marketing is the ultimate "recession-proofing" for your economic life.


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